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Updated: 9 September 2026, 17:32 UTC
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Crude oil jumped as US-Iran fighting re-started and the prices of fuels and other refined products reached record highs across the globe.
Conflict Hot Warm Frozen Potential Circle size = estimated deaths (log scale).
Events from around the world that have a real, lasting impact.
Iran War
The US struck around 100 targets in Iran on 1 September in response to Iran attacking ships in Hormuz, ending a month-long pause.
Iran responded by attacking US bases in Bahrain, Iraq, Jordan and Kuwait.
Ukraine War
Mutual strikes stopped most of both Russia’s and Ukraine’s Black Sea shipping, as 2 Turkish commercial ships were also struck by Ukrainian sea drones in August.
A third of the world’s grain is exported through the Black Sea, and global food prices grew by 2% in August.
UK
Small boat arrivals across the English Channel have slowed to 48% below summer 2025 totals, as Labour closed the gap on Reform in public opinion polls.
Fewer crossings were partly attributed to increased policing on the French side, and partly to the weather conditions of the hottest summer on record.
US
The House and the Senate approved a law to delay the next federal budget to December, avoiding a potential shutdown before mid-term elections.
The US put up a 50% tariff on $20 billion (5.5%) of its trade with Canada, answered by a 15–50% rate on $20 billion of US exports to Canada.
China
China tightened regulations on pre-sales of unbuilt houses and the financing of construction and mortgages.
Stalled housing projects have contributed to an economic slowdown since 2021 and strained the construction and banking sectors in China.
France
France’s economy did not grow in the first half of 2026, and its 10-year borrowing cost reached 4.24% on 2 September.
The French government, without a parliamentary majority, has struggled with a growing debt-to-GDP ratio of 110%.
Germany
On 1 September, Germany officially attributed an earlier failed drone attack on Ukrainian military planes at a German airport to Russia.
The same day, explosives were found at a power plant substation, and another substation was deliberately short-circuited.
India
The Supreme Court ended all police cases related to the youth exam protest movement, which called off its planned 5 September march in exchange.
The movement started with protests over the undergraduate exam system and gathered broad support, especially among Gen Z Indians.
Japan
The cost of government borrowing (bond yields) reached 3% per year on 10-year bonds, the highest since 1996, while the government increased its borrowing.
The growing inflation and weak currency applied pressure to increase interest rates, which would further raise yields.
Turkiye
Turkiye summoned Ukraine’s ambassador to the Foreign Ministry over 2 Turkish container ships struck by sea drones in the Black Sea.
A framework law to progress the Turkiye-PKK deal was signed on 17 August but further rulings are awaited.
Africa
In the Sahel, Niger’s ruling military junta put down a 24-hour mutiny starting at a military base, with the help of Russia’s Africa Corps (also stationed at this base).
The mutiny spread to the presidential palace and the state TV broadcaster before being contained.
Asia
A flood in Nepal killed at least 1,252 people as 4,216 remained missing by 3 September, including 900 workers building underground tunnels for hydropower projects.
The flood was started by an ice-rock avalanche caused by high temperatures this summer.
Europe
Iceland voted against re-starting talks to join the European Union.
Higher energy costs pushed euro-area inflation to 3.3% and government bond yields to their highest since 2011; the European Central Bank’s next interest rate decision comes on 11 September.
Middle East
Israel captured Hamas’ head of internal security after a series of strikes that killed Hamas and Islamic Jihad commanders in late August.
The Gaza ceasefire process remained stalled, with regular deaths and no Hamas disarmament.
South America
Venezuela handed 100-year rights over 20% of its known oil reserves to a private firm in which the US government takes a 35% stake.
The 17 oilfields represent 65 billion barrels of mostly extra-heavy and sour crude oil, which is a larger volume than the US’s total known reserves.
Rest of the World
After the election of a new president (49.66% to 48.70% in the 2nd round), Colombia intensified its military campaign against armed groups and drug cartels.
Security forces carried out over 12,000 arrests, seized 38 tonnes of cocaine (Colombia grows 65% of the world’s cocaine), and launched airstrikes that killed over 30 people.
Technology
3 leading US AI labs (Anthropic, Google and OpenAI) have all released their latest models, with cyber-capabilities limited to a group of partners and US government entities.
This came after a series of incidents when AI models in training engaged in unexpected hacking.
Business
Government bond yields (the rate investors earn per year on state debt) reached multi-decade highs in the US, the UK, the EU and Japan.
The Iran War, rising inflation and spending, as well as competition from AI-driven corporate bond issuance are among the causes.
Climate
The El Niño effect over the tropical Pacific Ocean further intensified, predicted to be the strongest on record and to last until February 2027.
The El Niño increases global temperatures for about a year and changes where the rain falls, especially in the Americas and Pacific Asia.
Oil
Crude oil jumped as US-Iran fighting re-started and the prices of fuels and other refined products reached record highs across the globe.
The 26 August framework deal to re-open Hormuz was not implemented, but Red Sea shipping was near-normal with 1 strike on tankers in the last 2 weeks.
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